Get short, timely messages from Charles Franklin.

Twitter is a rich source of instantly updated information. It's easy to stay updated on an incredibly wide variety of topics. Join today and follow @PollsAndVotes.

Get updates via SMS by texting follow PollsAndVotes to 40404 in the United States
Codes for other countries

Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:
Country Code For customers of
Australia
  • 0198089488 Telstra
Canada
  • 21212 (any)
United Kingdom
  • 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
Indonesia
  • 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel
Ireland
  • 51210 O2
India
  • 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon
Jordan
  • 90903 Zain
New Zealand
  • 8987 Vodafone, Telecom NZ
United States
  • 40404 (any)

PollsAndVotes

  1. @alexhanna Panel great for measuring individual change, fresh cross section better for aggregate change. 1:38 PM May 17th via Echofon in reply to alexhanna
  2. @alexhanna Good Q. Panel mortality is biggest. In CBS/NYT panel this week 66% recontact rate, which isn't bad but 1) smaller n 2)non-random 1:34 PM May 17th via Echofon in reply to alexhanna
  3. @kevinbinversie Not that's not correct. Everything is released as usual 12:15-12:45. Evening will cover what was in release already. 2:10 PM May 15th via Echofon in reply to kevinbinversie
  4. @kevinbinversie ?? Release is 12:15-12:45 Wed. Same as usual. All data on web at 12:45 There is a pm alumni event but release is 12:15. 2:07 PM May 15th via Echofon in reply to kevinbinversie
  5. @folkbum @jakemillerwis We sample registered and now give both RV & LV results but no weighting by party-LV are those saying certain to vote 9:52 PM May 5th via Echofon in reply to folkbum
  6. @folkbum @JakeMillerWis So I welcome the analysis. Open discussion is good. Our results are in the open. I wish all polls were as well. 9:46 PM May 5th via Echofon in reply to folkbum
  7. @folkbum @JakeMillerWis 2010 exits are for that year. Will this one look the same? I don't know. More 2008? 2006? 9:42 PM May 5th via Echofon in reply to folkbum
  8. @folkbum @JakeMillerWis PID and libcon vary over election cycles so you don't know population values to use as targets 9:38 PM May 5th via Echofon in reply to folkbum
  9. @folkbum @JakeMillerWis We do weight by education and age where there is a well known nonresponse differential & census values are available 9:36 PM May 5th via Echofon in reply to folkbum
  10. @folkbum @JakeMillerWis We don't weight to a specific lib-con or party distribution. Just report what people in the random sample say. 9:34 PM May 5th via Echofon in reply to folkbum
  11. @folkbum @JakeMillerWis This is one reason we put up the crosstabs-anyone can do this kind of "what if" analysis-It promotes alternate views 9:31 PM May 5th via Echofon in reply to folkbum
  12. Thx! My fav RT @RealJackieO: PS218 with @PollsAndVotes. Best class I've taken by far. I told you to wait until he's back from marquette! 8:59 AM May 2nd via Echofon
  13. @a_kowalsky @RealJackieO I'm scheduled to teach PS218 next spring. Hope to see you. 8:57 AM May 2nd via Echofon in reply to a_kowalsky
  14. @ConArtCritic Yes, in cross tabs, Q2 is LV for Nov. 10:35 PM Apr 29th via Echofon in reply to ConArtCritic
  15. @ConArtCritic FYI-we've always posted the LV crosstab for those who want to look but research shows LV more volatile until close to election 9:58 PM Apr 29th via Echofon in reply to ConArtCritic
  16. @ConArtCritic Live stream 12:15, web post at 1:15 CDT. We sample RV but also have LV results. BTW Nice county map. 9:45 PM Apr 29th via Echofon in reply to ConArtCritic
  17. RT @POTUSShowdown: Showdown 2012 starts now! Guests in the first hour include @zengerle, @pollsandvotes, and @carrieNBCNews on channel 124! 4:55 PM Apr 19th via Echofon
  18. @brettkeller btw my 12 yr old says "You can suck the fun out of anything." Apparently. She did not care for the Kaplan-Meier plots or coding 9:57 PM Apr 18th via Echofon in reply to brettkeller
  19. @brettkeller Nice work you did. I sent it to my Law&Stats class. We covered survival models 2 weeks ago. Now making my 12 yr old read it. 2:23 PM Apr 18th via Echofon in reply to brettkeller