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NIACouncil

  1. Nuclear talks with #Iran are a marathon, not a sprint @rezamarashi nationalinterest.org/commentary/the…
  2. @michellewallace Yes - we'll have video up tomorrow afternoon
  3. Khajehpour: iran is watching US elec, will shape strag calculations. 1st time presidents have less space
  4. Miller: Romney policies on Iran would be consistent w/Obama on Iran. Romney could be Obama's Sec of State on Iran policy
  5. Perkovich: Romney admin staffing will be key on Iran. Fmr Bush ppl, no good. Romney hasnt actually said he would do anything diff than Obama
  6. Crowley: congress political pressure useful to isolate and sanction, but there is an inflection point. If politics harden, can be obstacle
  7. Q: hawkish resolutions passed by congress, are they helpful, harmful, or irrelevant? Miller: not helpful, imagine revrs. Khajehpour: harmful
  8. Perkovich: Iranians have doubt about US capacity to deliver on promises. Congress plays big role in this doubt
  9. Crowley: q is will 2nd term Obama be a la 2nd term Clinton-less process driven, more focus on creative diplomacy, legacy bldg?
  10. Why Moscow for next round of talks? Perkovich: Iran doesn't trust Russia but can benefit from Putin desire to revitalize role in process
  11. Khajehpour: if security calculations change, internal redlines change & space opens up for situation in Iran to change by domestic actors
  12. Parsi: silence on human rights in this process has fueled concerns it will be sacrificed
  13. Khajehpour: enviro, energy, health, education needs of iran are opp of non-sanctioned goods & tech iran needs that can fill confidence gap
  14. Khajehpour: carbon capture tech is concrete offer of something iran has been deprived of that it wants, addresses energy & enviro needs
  15. Khajehpour: iran rational but reactive. Confidence deficit needs to be filled
  16. Khajehpour: but if development occurs that empowers more hardline factions in iran, strategic calculations will change