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LarrySabato

  1. At rare moments, change rushes in, all at once, with a brass band, as in '08. More often, change is like fog, creeping slowly on cat's feet. 7:29 PM Nov 23rd from web
  2. "We're the last Anglo senators from Texas." Well, it's 12 years later. Gramm retired and Anglo J. Cornyn has won twice. Premature prediction 7:26 PM Nov 23rd from web
  3. But I still remember talking to Hutchison & her GOP colleague, Phil Gramm, in a Senate meeting in Jan. '97. They both said, & I quote... 7:25 PM Nov 23rd from web
  4. Hard to see Hutchison losing in Nov. '10 under any circumstances if she's R nominee. I suppose it's possible with Perry(39% reelect in '06). 7:23 PM Nov 23rd from web
  5. So Red TX will elect a D GOV in 2010--a year likely to tilt Red even in some Blue states? I'll believe that one when I see it. 7:22 PM Nov 23rd from web
  6. Background is media buzz about how TX will turn D because of Hispanic vote. Yes, it will-- but sometime between 2020 and 2050. It's 2009. 7:20 PM Nov 23rd from web
  7. This coincides with a nasty GOP primary fight between Rick Perry and Kay Bailey Hutchison. Speculation is that White will win b/c of split. 7:18 PM Nov 23rd from web
  8. The movement in TX GOV today is another example, in the other direction.Houston Mayor Bill White(D) may be jumping in, replacing a weaker D. 7:16 PM Nov 23rd from web
  9. Maybe it will happen. But House Dems are doing everything possible to make sure it won't. How about a little patience, fellow analysts? 7:11 PM Nov 23rd from web
  10. The news media and analysts used to wait for the magic '3' before declaring a trend--even though 3 isn't a trend. Now just 1 is magic. 7:10 PM Nov 23rd from web
  11. That's right, Moore's the only D in a vulnerable district who is plain retiring rather than bidding up. But silly things were said all day. 7:09 PM Nov 23rd from web
  12. Shouldn't we wait until D retirements--not counting those running for higher office--reach, say, 10 or 12? As of today, the total is ONE. 7:07 PM Nov 23rd from web
  13. The rush to be first to spot a 'trend' leads analysts astray. Rep. Dennis Moore(D-KS) retires, and media jump to declare a season of D byes. 7:04 PM Nov 23rd from web
  14. No one talked or read papers or fiddled with a PC or got up early or complained that it went overtime. They were appreciative. Hint, hint. 12:03 PM Nov 22nd from web
  15. I wish I could show the tape to classes in the U.S. Our session stretched for hours, yet they were attentive & focused & participatory. 12:01 PM Nov 22nd from web
  16. I met some of the most impressive young people ever at SIOI (Italy's training ground for foreign service). Multi-lingual, sharp, informed. 11:59 AM Nov 22nd from web
  17. Two well known author-journalists were pro- & anti-Silvio. I could hardly get a word in edgewise, and was deeply grateful for that. 11:54 AM Nov 22nd from web
  18. Saw this close up on "8 e mezzo", one of Italy's top TV shows. I'd hoped to discuss politics, but was caught in the crossfire of scandal. 11:53 AM Nov 22nd from web
  19. Politicians are the same the world over. The quest for power, fame & money lead them astray. Appetites are larger than reputations permit. 11:50 AM Nov 22nd from web
  20. Usual balancing forces are at work in scandal. Berlusconi's dalliances on one hand; one of his opponents found with transvestite & cocaine. 11:48 AM Nov 22nd from web