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JohnKicklighter

  1. $EURUSD stks.co/40OG A chart to contemplate. Can we find safe haven within the EZ (Germany) or do we have to leave it?
  2. @Rlind22 I am. Though I'm not very comfortable with it. I'll discuss it in today's video.
  3. Both the Fed and Treasury will be selling Treasuries tomorrow. Fed will sell $8-8.75 Bln in notes, Treasury: $30Bln (3mth) and $27Bln (6mth)
  4. The implied rates for the Majors 1 year from now: AUD (+3.31); NZD (+2.66); CAD (+1.30); GBP (+0.69); EUR (-0.05); JPY (-0.18); CHF (-0.61).
  5. @Rlind22 If there isn't a strong drive to revive the risk aversion effort, NZDUSD could rebound through the congestion. I'm not reentering.
  6. Implied Vol update for the USD-majors: NZD (14.3%); AUD (13.7%); CHF (13.4%) EUR (12.4%); CAD (10.3%); JPY (9.1%); GBP (9.0%).
  7. @TsaniasFX You mean below 1.5300/250? We'll have to see what is happening in the backdrop when we reach that floor; but yes, it could.
  8. To clarify on $GBPUSD, I wouldn't go long. I feel It's more finally balanced against USD, and its fading rate outlook will sink it further
  9. $GBPUSD stks.co/40Ls Haven't given much attention to the cable recently, but the tech and fundamentals are provocative.
  10. @DanielArkian The video should be working now: dailyfx.com/forex/video/da…
  11. @DanielArkian Hmmm... Looks like the video has a tech error. I'm seeing if I can fix it.
  12. Finding some pretty good follow through on $EURAUD - moreso than GBPNZD. Helps when the currency outside the risk pull is hurting (Euro).
  13. Has implications for $EURAUD, GBPAUD, AUDNZD, etc.||@DRodriguezFX: AUDUSD SSI is coming off of record net-long levels..http://t.co/fzyDXnK6
  14. $GBPAUD and $GBPNZD look attractive as reversal candidates, but I need a true break and risk support to be convinced.
  15. ...reminds me of the path Portugal took into it's bailout.
  16. I'm not surprised the ECB didn't fire up the SMP at Rajoy's request but his frequent, big-ticket requests are starting to concern me.
  17. ...of course, general risk trends (as seen in the S&P 500 and AUDUSD) are at high risk for a bounce should speculative shorts cover.
  18. Though it isn't closed yet, that $EURUSD daily candle looks like quite the failed effort at a reversal.
  19. Going live with the Fundamental Outlook webinar now. Come on by and find the most important themes and ask questions. dailyfx.com/live_forex_tra…
  20. Alright, I'm out of here. Thank you everyone for the #FFs, well wishes and conversations. Hope you all have a great weekend.