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DMcWilliams_UK

  1. Watch out for Cebr's latest estimate of the economic impact of Euro breakup. Contact Cebr for an embargoed copy... 8:01 AM May 16th via web
  2. Why have supermarket sales held up in recession - beer sales down 19%, petrol down 15%, domestic gas down 18% - leaves money to spend... 9:33 AM May 15th via web
  3. Chinese electricity consumption figures for April up only 3.7% yoy. I warned when I was in China last month that landing might be 'bumpy'. 9:40 AM May 14th via web
  4. Grexit will happen much more quickly than politicians think cityam.com/latest-news/al… 1:46 AM May 14th via Tweet Button
  5. Great article by Boris on Telegraph site undermined by misspelling of 'defeatist'. Does the BBC have a mole on the Telegraph's subs desk? 1:08 AM May 14th via web
  6. The real world finally comes to the City. Cebr's latest forecasts for City bonuses will be published tomorrow. 9:23 AM May 9th via web
  7. Will the euro break up this week? The ECB has firepower to calm markets but today's elections should highlight the underlying problems 4:36 AM May 6th via web
  8. Key new point of Mervyn's 'apology' is claim that Brown delayed bank bailout causing recession. Did he say this at the time? I did... 2:19 AM May 3rd via web
  9. Markets where they ended last week. They are underplaying what could be a perfect storm from Greek election, Spanish debt and Hollande win 9:59 AM Apr 27th via web
  10. @SkyCharlotte We didn't actually say they should be scrapped - just spread out better..... 2:44 AM Apr 9th via web in reply to SkyCharlotte
  11. Are bank holidays bad for the economy? There is a hit on productivity but some extra spending.....discuss 2:39 AM Apr 9th via web
  12. OBR's medium term forecasts seem to be based on inverse law of economic gravity - what goes down must come up - unlikely in the real world 7:12 AM Mar 21st via web
  13. Treasury has vindicated Cebr study on 50p rate....pity they are too much into 'not invented here' to give credit 6:45 AM Mar 21st via web
  14. Budget data shows tax change impacts marginal - biggest single impact is people will delay dividends and bonuses till 45p rate comes in 6:44 AM Mar 21st via web
  15. Cebr's study showed economic impacts of CT cuts were long term - cd be 4% after 15 years but no significant impact for first 3 years 6:42 AM Mar 21st via web
  16. Loose talk on the BBC about what has to be done to pay for cutting the 50p tax rate. Since it loses money, it doesn't have to be paid for! 2:01 AM Mar 21st via web
  17. @tobyhelm no 9:33 AM Mar 19th via web in reply to tobyhelm
  18. Don't see the logic of a 45p top tax rate. 100% of the political aggro for only 50% of the economic benefit 8:36 AM Mar 19th via web
  19. Labour plan £1 billion from bankers' bonus tax. Bonuses are £4 billion, so rate 25% + 50% top rate 16% total NI = 91%. Realistic? 7:09 AM Mar 16th via web
  20. @iainmartin1 Read it and thought you got it spot on. Good analysis! 10:14 AM Mar 12th via web in reply to iainmartin1